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Iran leader end of 2026?
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Mojtaba Khamenei
$7,186,300 Vol.
93%
1%
Alireza Arafi
$2,343,785 Vol.
2%
No Head of State
$1,198,526 Vol.
2%
Reza Pahlavi
$734,048 Vol.
1%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$1,049,864 Vol.
<1%
Hassan Rouhani
$963,819 Vol.
<1%
Muhammad Mirbaqiri
$485,625 Vol.
<1%
Sadegh Larijani
$595,788 Vol.
<1%
Hassan Khomeini
$1,464,185 Vol.
<1%
Maryam Rajavi
$916,710 Vol.
<1%
Abbas Araghchi
$855,038 Vol.
<1%
Ahmad Vahidi
$794,980 Vol.
<1%
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf
$938,491 Vol.
<1%
Hassan Shariatmadari
$3,186,773 Vol.
<1%
Massoud Rajavi
$441,370 Vol.
<1%
Seyed Hossein Mousavian
$3,724,699 Vol.
<1%
Reza Pirzadeh
$192,476 Vol.
<1%
Navid Shomali
$268,314 Vol.
<1%
Mustafa Hijri
$245,278 Vol.
<1%
Ali Motahari
$875,422 Vol.
<1%
Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel
$476,092 Vol.
<1%
Mostafa Pourmohammadi
$3,390,896 Vol.
<1%
Sadegh Mahsouli
$280,895 Vol.
<1%
Saeed Jalili
$430,074 Vol.
<1%
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
$1,142,756 Vol.
<1%
Mohammad Khatami
$5,227,493 Vol.
<1%
Mohsen Araki
$334,543 Vol.
<1%
Nasir Hosseini
$306,398 Vol.
<1%
Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani
$339,205 Vol.
<1%
Ali Asghar Hejazi
$398,210 Vol.
<1%
Mohammad Pakpour
$0 Vol.
0%
Ali Larijani
$236,860 Vol.
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appo... This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Market Opened: Feb 28, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
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