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What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

Economy Vol. $1,933,983 50 traders

$1,933,983 Vol.Dec 31, 2026PolyBet
↑ 5.0%
$21,188 Vol.
2%
↑ 5.5%
$58,832 Vol.
2%
↑ 5.25%
$142,685 Vol.
2%
↑ 4.5%
$55,396 Vol.
12% 10%
↑ 4.75%
$82,372 Vol.
2%
↑ 4.25%
$157,243 Vol.
95% 18%
↓ 2.0%
$23,659 Vol.
2%
↓ 1.0%
$2,459 Vol.
1%
↓ 1.25%
$5,987 Vol.
2%
↓ 1.5%
$28,518 Vol.
2%
↓ 1.75%
$13,342 Vol.
1%
↓ 0.75%
$762 Vol.
2%
↓ 0.5%
$110,543 Vol.
2% 1%
↓ 0.25%
$132,695 Vol.
2%
↓ 0%
$21,393 Vol.
2% 1%
↓ 2.25%
$45,577 Vol.
2%
↓ 2.5%
$233,662 Vol.
1%
↓ 2.75%
$379,844 Vol.
2%
↓ 3.0%
$325,281 Vol.
2%
↓ 3.25%
$83,540 Vol.
1% 1%
↓ 3.5%
$9,003 Vol.
100%

Rules

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered....

Market Opened: Nov 18, 2025, 3:38 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm