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Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)
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None
$10,686,259 Vol.
98%
AK
$1,748,467 Vol.
1%
All 7
$536,789 Vol.
0%
3%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, OH
$355,036 Vol.
0%
1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, TX
$403,752 Vol.
0%
AK, IA, KS, ME, OH, TX
$547,697 Vol.
0%
1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, OH, TX
$426,057 Vol.
0%
1%
AK, IA, ME, MI, OH, TX
$293,035 Vol.
0%
AK, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX
$417,786 Vol.
0%
IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX
$277,514 Vol.
0%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI
$478,598 Vol.
0%
AK, IA, KS, ME, OH
$387,223 Vol.
0%
AK, IA, KS, ME, TX
$464,651 Vol.
0%
1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, OH
$330,102 Vol.
0%
AK, IA, KS, MI, TX
$2,627,463 Vol.
0%
AK, IA, KS, OH, TX
$411,154 Vol.
0%
2%
AK, IA, ME, MI, OH
$408,576 Vol.
0%
AK, IA, ME, MI, TX
$744,764 Vol.
0%
AK, IA, ME, OH, TX
$288,320 Vol.
0%
AK, IA, MI, OH, TX
$559,806 Vol.
0%
AK, KS, ME, MI, OH
$556,986 Vol.
0%
AK, KS, ME, MI, TX
$679,164 Vol.
0%
AK, KS, ME, OH, TX
$553,377 Vol.
0%
AK, KS, MI, OH, TX
$660,629 Vol.
0%
AK, ME, MI, OH, TX
$511,461 Vol.
0%
IA, KS, ME, MI, OH
$368,155 Vol.
0%
IA, KS, ME, MI, TX
$403,709 Vol.
0%
IA, KS, ME, OH, TX
$340,203 Vol.
0%
IA, KS, MI, OH, TX
$346,405 Vol.
0%
IA, ME, MI, OH, TX
$307,294 Vol.
0%
KS, ME, MI, OH, TX
$378,498 Vol.
0%
AK, IA, KS, ME
$533,856 Vol.
0%
1%
AK, IA, KS, MI
$693,063 Vol.
0%
AK, IA, KS, OH
$333,465 Vol.
0%
AK, IA, KS, TX
$556,485 Vol.
0%
1%
AK, IA, ME, MI
$399,797 Vol.
0%
AK, IA, ME, OH
$443,579 Vol.
0%
AK, IA, ME, TX
$440,223 Vol.
0%
AK, IA, MI, OH
$449,831 Vol.
0%
AK, IA, MI, TX
$465,025 Vol.
0%
AK, IA, OH, TX
$352,488 Vol.
0%
1%
AK, KS, ME, MI
$375,461 Vol.
0%
AK, KS, ME, OH
$574,116 Vol.
0%
AK, KS, ME, TX
$447,645 Vol.
0%
AK, KS, MI, OH
$338,004 Vol.
0%
AK, KS, MI, TX
$732,179 Vol.
0%
AK, KS, OH, TX
$463,792 Vol.
0%
AK, ME, MI, OH
$513,839 Vol.
0%
AK, ME, MI, TX
$531,210 Vol.
0%
AK, ME, OH, TX
$378,198 Vol.
0%
AK, MI, OH, TX
$409,572 Vol.
0%
IA, KS, ME, MI
$402,139 Vol.
0%
IA, KS, ME, OH
$320,860 Vol.
0%
IA, KS, ME, TX
$444,993 Vol.
0%
IA, KS, MI, OH
$410,664 Vol.
0%
IA, KS, MI, TX
$497,358 Vol.
0%
IA, KS, OH, TX
$271,459 Vol.
0%
IA, ME, MI, OH
$371,785 Vol.
0%
IA, ME, MI, TX
$559,694 Vol.
0%
IA, ME, OH, TX
$322,552 Vol.
0%
IA, MI, OH, TX
$238,217 Vol.
0%
KS, ME, MI, OH
$345,711 Vol.
0%
KS, ME, MI, TX
$351,956 Vol.
0%
KS, ME, OH, TX
$406,818 Vol.
0%
KS, MI, OH, TX
$254,508 Vol.
0%
ME, MI, OH, TX
$297,017 Vol.
0%
AK, IA, KS
$703,364 Vol.
0%
1%
AK, IA, ME
$880,415 Vol.
0%
AK, IA, MI
$415,488 Vol.
0%
AK, IA, OH
$399,361 Vol.
0%
AK, IA, TX
$541,574 Vol.
0%
AK, KS, ME
$468,562 Vol.
0%
AK, KS, MI
$511,995 Vol.
0%
AK, KS, OH
$445,543 Vol.
0%
AK, KS, TX
$470,744 Vol.
0%
AK, ME, MI
$583,679 Vol.
0%
AK, ME, OH
$540,235 Vol.
0%
AK, ME, TX
$445,498 Vol.
0%
AK, MI, OH
$380,677 Vol.
0%
AK, MI, TX
$341,419 Vol.
0%
AK, OH, TX
$363,615 Vol.
0%
IA, KS, ME
$669,664 Vol.
0%
3%
IA, KS, MI
$863,572 Vol.
0%
1%
IA, KS, OH
$381,621 Vol.
0%
1%
IA, KS, TX
$537,397 Vol.
0%
1%
IA, ME, MI
$380,170 Vol.
0%
IA, ME, OH
$327,282 Vol.
0%
IA, ME, TX
$474,740 Vol.
0%
2%
IA, MI, OH
$338,182 Vol.
0%
IA, MI, TX
$365,230 Vol.
0%
IA, OH, TX
$249,112 Vol.
0%
KS, ME, MI
$385,363 Vol.
0%
KS, ME, OH
$346,939 Vol.
0%
KS, ME, TX
$405,136 Vol.
0%
KS, MI, OH
$359,496 Vol.
0%
KS, MI, TX
$617,843 Vol.
0%
KS, OH, TX
$327,367 Vol.
0%
ME, MI, OH
$335,353 Vol.
0%
ME, MI, TX
$467,524 Vol.
0%
ME, OH, TX
$301,693 Vol.
0%
MI, OH, TX
$318,274 Vol.
0%
AK, IA
$1,069,649 Vol.
0%
2%
AK, KS
$507,310 Vol.
0%
AK, ME
$570,331 Vol.
0%
1%
AK, MI
$511,056 Vol.
0%
1%
AK, OH
$364,824 Vol.
0%
AK, TX
$439,564 Vol.
0%
IA, KS
$3,336,768 Vol.
0%
3%
IA, ME
$747,130 Vol.
0%
2%
IA, MI
$547,622 Vol.
0%
1%
IA, OH
$569,649 Vol.
0%
1%
IA, TX
$479,257 Vol.
0%
1%
KS, ME
$457,784 Vol.
0%
KS, MI
$602,874 Vol.
0%
KS, OH
$366,244 Vol.
0%
KS, TX
$462,297 Vol.
0%
1%
ME, MI
$476,202 Vol.
0%
ME, OH
$363,692 Vol.
0%
ME, TX
$516,393 Vol.
0%
MI, OH
$536,163 Vol.
0%
MI, TX
$531,612 Vol.
0%
OH, TX
$320,580 Vol.
0%
IA
$3,502,032 Vol.
0%
11%
KS
$579,533 Vol.
0%
3%
ME
$639,656 Vol.
0%
1%
MI
$842,834 Vol.
0%
1%
OH
$542,131 Vol.
0%
1%
TX
$534,862 Vol.
0%
1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A s... This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027.
A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 26, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
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